ENERGY
ATHOM
Flow Forecasting and Basin Optimization Model
ATHOM is designed as a product that enables the forecasting of the flow to the water structures in the basin and accordingly the preparation of water budgets of the storage facilities and their operation on a daily, monthly and annual basis. This product includes flow forecasting models and basin optimization models. Flow Forecasting and Basin Optimization Model (ATHOM) was developed within the scope of the project.
Two forecasting models, short-term and long-term, have been developed within ATHOM. With short-term forecasts, flood risk can be identified up to 10 days in advance and the entire basin can be operated in the most efficient way without flooding the dam reservoir and river bed. Long-term forecasts make it possible to predict the flows that will enter the dam for up to 15 months and optimize energy production.
Technology / Product Overview
It is a holistic decision support system that estimates the water revenue of water structures such as single or consecutive dams in river basins, prepares water budgets of storage facilities and creates daily, monthly and annual operating strategies according to these budgets.
Technology / Product Name
Flow Forecasting and Basin Optimization Model
Technology / Product Short (Code) Name
ATHOM
Technology / Product Type
Final Product
Technology / Product Features and Benefits
ATHOM produces high accuracy current forecasts. 2 km x 2 km resolution meteorological forecasts for up to 10 days can be provided as output. Point-based water flow forecasts can be presented at 200 m x 200 m resolution. Thanks to ATHOM, a total of 830 million cubic meters of water was saved in the Seyhan Basin for 4 years, with an annual average of at least % 5. Developed with artificial intelligence-based models, ATHOM, which has a dynamic and operational structure, ensures the most efficient use of water and maximum energy generation with an average forecast accuracy of up to % 95 in flow forecasts. With the right operating policies, it is possible to produce at least %5 more energy per year in energy production.
Developer Research Groups
BYET Energy Monitoring and Forecasting AG
Production and Technology Status
Installation/Production Capacity
It has the capacity to install and commission 2 systems (basin application) per year.
Current Status
The system can be actively used and installed.
Technology Readiness Level (THS)
THS 8
Technical Skills
Map Based Data Monitoring and Analysis
The location and detail information of observation stations and dams and instant observation data are presented to the user together with map bases.
- Current and Lake Observation Station Data
- Snow and Meteorological Observation Station Data
- Miscellaneous Observation Station Data
Map Based Meteorological Forecasts
Up to 10 days of map-based meteorological forecasts are dynamically displayed as layers.
- Snow Water Equivalent Estimates
- Snow Covered Area Estimates
- Rainfall Forecasts
- Temperature Forecasts
Basin Profile
Occupancy rates and detailed information of the dams in the basin are shown. In addition, reservoir and station lists in the basin can be queried.
- Basin Diagram
- Reservoir List
- DSI Station List
- MGM Station List
Data Processing and Analysis
Data on dams and measurement stations are obtained from DSİ, TEİAŞ and MGM and presented to the user. Automatic algorithms or manual correction operations are performed while monitoring and analyzing the data.
- Dam Measurement Data
- Dam Monthly Operation Table
- Dam Annual Operation Program
- DSİ and MGM Station Measurement Data
- Fevk Events
- Daily Water Level and Amount
- Monthly Water Level and Amount
- Daily and Monthly Energy Production
Short and Long Term Meteorological Forecasts
Basin-based meteorological forecasts are created for short and long term and presented to the user.
Current Forecasts
Short-term (3-10 days, hourly resolution) and Long-term (15 months, daily resolution) flow forecasts are created for each dam on a basin basis. While creating these forecasts, the most up-to-date models are used and continuously updated forecasts are presented to the user in an operational structure. Both point and probabilistic forecasts are generated and dam-based wet/dry season analyses are performed for the obtained flow forecasts.
Basin Optimization (Business)
Using dam-based flow forecasts, short-term (for flood purposes, up to 10 days) and long-term (for energy purposes, up to 15 months) forecasts are created and presented to the user. The entire basin is operated in cascade in accordance with the required constraints and the operating program information obtained is presented to the users.
Reporting of Results
All obtained flow forecasts and dam operation curves are presented to the user together with past year behaviors and basin-based aggregated reports are presented to the user quickly.
- Hydroelectric Power Plants (HPP): Maximizing energy production by optimizing water use.
- Water Management Systems: Institutions such as the State Hydraulic Works (DSI) prepare and manage basin-based water budgets.
- River Basins and Dams: Effective flood control, drought management and water allocation decisions.
